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India's Aviation Boom Faces Turbulence Amid Duopoly Strain

India's aviation sector faces significant challenges following crises at its leading airlines, IndiGo and Air India, prompting government intervention. IndiGo, which dominates two-thirds of the market, experienced a severe operational failure in December due to pilot shortages and software issues, resulting in thousands of flight cancellations and stranding half a million passengers. Meanwhile, Air India, transitioning from state to Tata Group ownership, has struggled with safety audits and operational mishaps, including a tragic crash that killed 241 people. As both airlines control nearly 90% of domestic seats, experts warn of systemic fragility in a rapidly growing market. The Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA) is under scrutiny for its limited resources and oversight capabilities, raising concerns about the sector's future. With ambitious expansion plans underway, the industry must address these vulnerabilities to ensure sustainable growth and safety in India's burgeoning aviation landscape. sources

Published:
Jan 05 2026, 9 am

Strong earnings growth expected in EMS, Telecom, Industrial, Retail sectors

In a recent report by Antique, sectors such as EMS, telecom, industrials, and retail are projected to experience robust earnings growth over the next two years, buoyed by improving macroeconomic conditions. The report highlights a positive correlation between corporate earnings, the Wholesale Price Index (WPI), and nominal GDP growth, which are expected to stabilize in FY27, fostering a more favorable environment for profitability. It forecasts a significant increase in Nifty 50 earnings growth, estimating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16% from FY26 to FY28, a marked improvement from the 7% CAGR seen in the previous two years. Conversely, sectors like oil and gas, IT services, power utilities, FMCG, and automobiles are anticipated to lag due to ongoing sector-specific challenges. Additionally, a slowdown in earnings downgrades across various company sizes signals improved earnings visibility and stability in corporate performance. sources

Published:
Jan 05 2026, 9 am

India surpasses China as top rice producer: Shivraj Chouhan

India has officially become the world's largest rice producer, surpassing China with an impressive output of 150.18 million tonnes, according to Union Agriculture Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan. This milestone was announced during the unveiling of 184 new high-yielding seed varieties across 25 crops, aimed at boosting agricultural productivity and enhancing farmers' incomes. Chouhan highlighted that since 1969, a total of 7,205 crop varieties have been developed, with 3,236 approved since 2014 under the Narendra Modi-led government. He emphasized India's transformation from a food-deficient nation to a global food supplier, ensuring food security with abundant grain stocks. The newly released varieties, which include cereals, pulses, and oilseeds, are designed to be climate-resilient and address challenges such as drought and soil salinity. Agriculture Secretary Devesh Chaturvedi noted efforts to increase seed multiplication rates to ensure quality seeds are accessible to farmers at affordable prices. sources

Published:
Jan 05 2026, 6 am

"Shifting Focus to CY26 Budgets Amidst Q3 IT Growth Slowdown"

Indian IT services firms are poised for muted growth in Q3 FY26, as seasonal furloughs and reduced working days counterbalance a cautious demand environment. Analysts predict that revenue growth will be constrained, similar to Q3 FY25, with aggregate revenue for top firms expected to rise in high single digits year-on-year. Margin performance may remain flat, aided by the depreciation of the Indian Rupee, though wage hikes and furloughs could limit gains. Deal activity is steady but primarily focused on renewals, with new signings lagging due to client hesitance amid macroeconomic uncertainties. While AI integration is advancing, its direct revenue contribution remains minimal, as spending is largely reallocating from existing budgets. Mid-tier firms are expected to outperform large caps, with Persistent and Coforge leading growth. Sector performance varies, with BFSI showing resilience, while manufacturing and communication face challenges. Overall, demand is anticipated to remain stable until early CY26, when tech budgets are finalized. sources

Published:
Jan 04 2026, 8 pm

Draft social security rules for gig workers raise union concerns

The Indian government's draft rules for gig workers, pre-published on December 30, propose that workers must be employed by a single aggregator for at least 90 days annually to access social security benefits, including health and life insurance. Those working with multiple aggregators will need to provide services for a minimum of 120 days in a financial year. The Ministry of Labour and Employment is inviting public feedback for 45 days before finalizing the rules. A 2022 Niti Aayog report estimated the gig workforce at 7.7 million, projected to rise to 23.5 million by 2030. Amid ongoing protests for better pay and working conditions, unions argue that regulatory changes are necessary to address exploitation. The draft also mandates that aggregators register workers on a central portal, e-Shram, to facilitate access to social security schemes, with benefits ceasing at age 60 or if employment conditions are not met. sources

Published:
Jan 04 2026, 7 pm

Agri VC warns about urea misuse dangers

Farmers in Lucknow are being cautioned against the excessive use of urea fertiliser, which is prevalent among some growers who apply 50-100% more than necessary. Prof. Aldus Janaiah, Vice-Chancellor of Prof. Jayashankar Telangana Agricultural University, highlighted that this misconception—that more urea leads to higher yields—is unfounded and could result in serious health risks due to chemical residues in crops. He warned that overuse not only pollutes the soil and diminishes grain quality but also compromises plant immunity, increasing vulnerability to pests and diseases. While nitrogen is crucial for plant growth, Janaiah urged farmers to apply urea judiciously, noting that its low cost compared to other fertilisers often drives excessive usage. The statement underscores the need for sustainable agricultural practices to safeguard both consumer health and environmental integrity. sources

Published:
Jan 04 2026, 7 pm

DoE to streamline Central schemes; requests input on changes

The Department of Expenditure (DoE) has initiated a comprehensive rationalisation effort aimed at reducing the number and financial burden of Central Sector Schemes (CSs) and Centrally Sponsored Schemes (CSSs). With many schemes nearing the end of their five-year approval cycle by March 31, 2026, the DoE has called for Ministries to submit restructuring proposals to consolidate similar initiatives and eliminate ineffective ones. Currently, there are 54 CSSs and 260 CSs covering diverse sectors, including health, education, and infrastructure. Officials emphasised the need for consolidation to enhance the effectiveness of public spending, which has already seen a significant increase to ₹11.21 lakh crore for FY 2025-26. The Finance Ministry aims to modernise scheme architecture and improve targeting to ensure efficient use of funds. Ministries are expected to submit proposals for potential mergers by March, with evaluations conducted by the Development Monitoring Evaluation Organisation and third-party agencies. sources

Published:
Jan 04 2026, 5 pm

Karnataka leads in tax growth; Gujarat excels in spending

Karnataka has emerged as the leader in tax revenue growth among Indian states, excluding union tax shares, during the April-November period of the 2025-26 fiscal year, according to data from the Comptroller and Auditor General (C&AG). Following Karnataka are Maharashtra and Uttar Pradesh. In capital expenditure, Gujarat tops the list, with Maharashtra and Karnataka trailing behind. Despite Uttar Pradesh's higher overall spending, it experienced a decline compared to the previous fiscal year. Karnataka's tax revenue growth is hindered by a slowdown in State Goods and Services Tax (SGST) collections post-GST rate rationalisation. Meanwhile, capital expenditure trends vary, with Gujarat, Karnataka, and Maharashtra showing growth, while Tamil Nadu and Uttar Pradesh saw declines. States' fiscal deficits remain manageable, with Maharashtra at 16% and Karnataka at 4% of budget estimates. The fiscal deficit limit for states is set at 3% of GSDP for 2025-26, with some states exceeding this threshold. sources

Published:
Jan 04 2026, 5 pm

Dense fog warning issued with incoming western disturbance

A significant western disturbance is set to influence winter weather across North-West India, as it moves along a sub-tropical westerly jet stream with winds reaching speeds of 278 km/h. This disturbance, located north of Kabul and south of Gilgit, is expected to bring moisture from various seas, resulting in rain in the plains and snow in the hills. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has warned of dense fog in several regions, including Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, and Punjab, lasting until next week. Cold wave conditions are anticipated in Punjab, Haryana, and Chandigarh, while ground frost may affect Uttarakhand's Rabi crops. Additionally, light to moderate precipitation is forecasted for Jammu-Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, and Uttarakhand in the coming days. Meanwhile, a polar vortex is expected to bring frigid temperatures to Europe, potentially impacting weather patterns in North-West India. sources

Published:
Jan 04 2026, 5 pm

DGCA bans power banks on aircraft

India's civil aviation safety regulator, the Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA), has implemented strict guidelines prohibiting the in-flight use and charging of power banks, as well as other devices like mobile phones, amid safety concerns following incidents of lithium battery fires on aircraft. Passengers are advised against plugging power banks into seat charging facilities and storing them in overhead bins, where they pose a risk of ignition and delayed fire response. The DGCA's 'Dangerous Goods Advisory Circular' emphasizes the need for enhanced safety measures, including improved detection and firefighting protocols, and mandates airlines to review their safety management processes. Airlines must also ensure that cabin crew receive comprehensive training on handling lithium battery incidents and communicate to passengers that power banks and spare batteries should only be carried in hand luggage. These measures aim to mitigate the risks associated with the increasing use of lithium batteries in air travel. sources

Published:
Jan 04 2026, 5 pm

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