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Nomura forecasts 6% growth slowdown in FY25

Global research agency Nomura has revised its growth forecast for India's fiscal year 2024-25 (FY25), projecting a slowdown to 6% from 8.2% in FY24, citing macroeconomic indicators and consumer spending challenges. The agency's report indicates that while Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation is expected to ease to 4.9% in FY25 from 5.4% in FY24, concerns remain over food prices and commodities like palm oil, which could further strain consumer purchasing power. Despite these challenges, rural demand may see some improvement due to favorable rainfall and higher crop prices. Nomura anticipates weaker growth in sectors with high pent-up demand, such as cars, while two-wheelers and staples may perform better. The agency warns that companies may face margin pressures due to increased competition and difficulty passing on rising commodity costs, advising investors to be selective in their choices for FY26. sources

Published:
Jan 03 2025, 10 am

"PM Modi: Key Day for Delhi's Infrastructure Development"

Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced the launch of several infrastructure projects in New Delhi, emphasizing their role in enhancing academic and housing facilities. Speaking ahead of the inauguration of 1,675 flats for slum dwellers and the foundation stone laying for a college named after Veer Savarkar, Modi highlighted the government's commitment to providing world-class educational environments and proper housing for all Indians. He stated that these initiatives reflect a dedication to empowering future generations through knowledge and innovation. The Prime Minister also noted that Delhi has become a significant educational hub, attracting students nationwide. This push for infrastructure development comes as political tensions rise ahead of the upcoming assembly elections, with the BJP aiming to challenge the Aam Aadmi Party's long-standing dominance in the city since 2013, barring a brief period of President's rule. sources

Published:
Jan 03 2025, 9 am

FinMin to boost Q4 growth by increasing funding for ministries

In a bid to stimulate economic growth amid a slowdown in capital expenditure, India's Finance Ministry is set to allow certain ministries and departments to exceed their quarterly and monthly spending limits during the January-March quarter. This decision follows a report indicating that total expenditure from April to November reached only 57% of the Budget Estimates, the lowest in four years, adversely affecting growth in the July-September quarter. While the standard expenditure cap is 25% for the first three quarters and 33% for the final quarter, officials noted that relaxations will be considered on a case-by-case basis rather than as a blanket policy. The government previously announced similar relaxations for significant expenditures exceeding ₹500 crore, contingent on compliance with established guidelines. Studies suggest that every ₹1 spent on capital expenditure yields a multiplier effect of ₹2.45 in the same year and ₹3.14 in subsequent years, underscoring the importance of increased spending. sources

Published:
Jan 02 2025, 10 pm

Karnataka raises fares by 15% for state transport services

The Karnataka cabinet has approved a 15% fare increase for four state-run bus corporations, effective January 5, 2025, marking the first fare revision since 2015. H.K. Patil, the state's Minister for Law and Parliamentary Affairs, attributed the hike to rising operational costs, including a significant increase in diesel prices and staff salaries. The fare adjustment is expected to generate an additional ₹74.85 crore per month for the Karnataka State Road Transport Corporation (KSRTC), Bengaluru Metropolitan Transport Corporation (BMTC), North West Karnataka Road Transport Corporation (NWKRTC), and Kalyana Karnataka Road Transport Corporation (KKRTC). Patil emphasized that despite the increase, Karnataka's bus fares will remain lower than those in neighboring states such as Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, and Maharashtra. He also confirmed that the 'Shakti' scheme, which provides free rides for women on non-AC buses, will not be affected by the fare hike. sources

Published:
Jan 02 2025, 9 pm

India's sugar output falls 16% to 95.40 lakh tonnes

India's sugar production has seen a significant decline of 15.6% in the first quarter of the 2024-25 season, totaling 95.40 lakh tonnes, down from 113.01 lakh tonnes the previous year, according to the Indian Sugar and Bio-Energy Manufacturers Association (ISMA). This drop is attributed to increased diversion of sugar for ethanol production, projected at 40 lakh tonnes for the season, and delays in the start of sugar mills in key states like Maharashtra and Karnataka. Despite a better crushing rate in major producing states, Uttar Pradesh's output fell to 32.80 lakh tonnes from 34.35 lakh tonnes, while Maharashtra's production dropped to 30 lakh tonnes from 38.20 lakh tonnes. ISMA anticipates a total sugar output of 333 lakh tonnes for the year, with domestic consumption expected to decrease to 280 lakh tonnes, partly due to lower sales quotas compared to the previous year. sources

Published:
Jan 02 2025, 8 pm

Indian reservoir storage drops to 73% capacity this week

Excess rainfall in December has significantly improved reservoir levels in southern India, with storage reaching 76% of capacity, nearly double that of the previous year. However, overall, India's 155 major reservoirs have seen a decline to 73% capacity due to a lack of major rainfall in the past week. The India Meteorological Department reported that while December's rainfall was the highest since 2001, November's 55% deficiency hindered crop area expansion. Concerns remain for farmers as forecasts predict below-normal rainfall from January to March, compounded by the potential emergence of La Niña. Regionally, the northern reservoirs are particularly concerning, with levels dropping to 44%, while the western region boasts the highest storage at 84%. The IMD anticipates above-normal rainfall in January, which could further enhance reservoir levels across the country. sources

Published:
Jan 02 2025, 8 pm

SC Questions Centre's Inability to Engage with Farmers

The Supreme Court of India has clarified that the hospitalization of farmers' leader Jagjit Singh Dallewal is not intended to interrupt his ongoing hunger strike, which has now surpassed 35 days. Justice Surya Kant criticized the Punjab government and certain farmer leaders for suggesting otherwise, emphasizing the need for the Centre to openly address the farmers' grievances. Union Agriculture Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan stated that the government would abide by the court's decision regarding Dallewal's situation. The farmers are demanding a law to guarantee minimum crop prices to stabilize their income. The court has scheduled a hearing for January 6, amid concerns over Dallewal's health and the ongoing protests at the Punjab and Haryana borders. Justice Kant described Dallewal as a "precious leader" dedicated to farmers' issues, while Punjab's Advocate General assured that the state is working towards a peaceful resolution. sources

Published:
Jan 02 2025, 8 pm

NBFCs urge FM for dedicated refinance window for funds

Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman convened the seventh Pre-Budget Consultation in New Delhi, focusing on the upcoming Union Budget for 2025-26. Stakeholders from the financial sector, including the Finance Industry Development Council (FIDC), urged the government to establish a dedicated refinance window for Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) to diversify funding sources and support MSMEs, priority sectors, and green initiatives. FIDC Director Raman Aggarwal noted a significant rise in foreign borrowings by NBFCs, attributed to reduced bank lending, with $16 billion borrowed in 2024 alone. The council also proposed lowering the loan threshold for enforcing security interests under the SARFAESI Act and exempting NBFCs from TDS deductions. Other suggestions included enhancing the Social Stock Exchange and allowing employees to choose between the provident fund and the National Pension System. Prominent figures from the financial sector attended the meeting, emphasizing the need for continued government support to strengthen India's alternative capital ecosystem. sources

Published:
Jan 02 2025, 8 pm

Distributors seek legislative action against quick commerce firms

India's traditional retail sector is raising alarms over the rapid rise of quick commerce platforms such as Blinkit, Zepto, and Instamart, which are accused of disrupting the market through aggressive pricing strategies backed by foreign investment. The All India Consumer Products Distributors Federation (AICPDF), representing 450,000 distributors and 13 million kirana stores, has approached the Parliamentary Standing Committee on Commerce, seeking urgent legislative intervention. They allege that these platforms operate dark stores and evade regulatory scrutiny, leading to significant revenue declines for traditional retailers. Additionally, concerns about labor exploitation among delivery personnel and the exploitative nature of franchise models have been highlighted. The AICPDF is advocating for social security protections and comprehensive franchise laws. The committee has requested a response from the Ministry of Commerce by January 6, 2025, as the debate intensifies over balancing innovation with the protection of traditional retail interests. sources

Published:
Jan 02 2025, 7 pm

CCI's Quick M&A Approval Enhances Investor Confidence, Fuels Growth

The Competition Commission of India (CCI) has significantly enhanced its regulatory efficiency in handling merger and acquisition (M&A) filings, achieving an average clearance time of just 16 days in its FY 2023-24 report. The introduction of the Green Channel Scheme in August 2019 has been pivotal, allowing automatic approvals for eligible combinations, although its usage slightly declined from 27% to 22% over the past two fiscal years. The CCI also offers voluntary pre-filing consultations to help businesses navigate regulatory complexities. The recent Competition Amendment Act 2023 introduces a deal value threshold aimed at capturing high-value transactions, particularly in digital markets. While the CCI's streamlined processes have bolstered confidence in M&A activities, challenges remain, especially with the increasing complexity of filings. Overall, the CCI's commitment to balancing competitive oversight with a business-friendly approach positions it as a crucial player in India's economic growth. sources

Published:
Jan 02 2025, 7 pm

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